Before Nov 1, 2026
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump signs an executive order reversing the renaming of Lake Ontario to Lake America before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not take this specific action by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean for the relevant event, but only actions concerning Lake Ontario count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%