Above 91
Why it moved: +5 points at 18:24 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Kroger to Invest $5 Billion on Improving Value, Lowering Prices — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 81% |
| 19 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Carbon Arc Kroger Credit Card Spend for October 2026 exceeds 91. It resolves to No if that spend is 91 or lower. Readers often mistake the deadline, but the specific metric is the credit card spend amount, not the headline news about investment.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 81%
- No 19%