NewsMarkets

Markets

Before Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$6
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%5%24 Sept, 18:17 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
28 Sept, 03:26 UTC5%
25 Sept, 02:59 UTC4%
25 Sept, 02:06 UTC7%
24 Sept, 18:17 UTC5%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a listed news source confirms that the Kennedy Center's main building is fully demolished before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this event does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the start of legal battles or protests for the required demolition.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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