Yes
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$59k
Liquidity$59k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kanye West physically travels to and is present in Israel before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his cancelled Russia concerts for the relevant event, but only his presence in Israel counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%