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Sporting CP

Implied probability 9%−1
24-hour volume$31
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves9 Sept 2027

Why it moved: −10 points at 16:19 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Cristiano Ronaldo vows to play on for Portugal and targets 1,000 career goals — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Sporting CP
0%50%100%9%22 Sept, 15:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now9%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC9%
22 Sept, 15:39 UTC19%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo signs with Sporting CP before September 2, 2027. It resolves to No if he joins any other club or does not sign with Sporting CP by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the announcement of his intentions rather than the actual signing date.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 9%
  • No 91%

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