Bayern Munich
Implied probability 7%+3
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Sept 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 10 Nov, 18:52 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Nov, 14:22 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland joins Bayern Munich as his next club before September 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the training return for the transfer deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%