Chelsea
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 22:13 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Julian Alvarez joins Chelsea before October 2, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often confuse this with Estevao's situation mentioned in the linked story.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%