Arsenal
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 09:07 UTC | 2% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Erling Haaland joins Arsenal before October 2, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not join by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Kevin Schade as relevant to the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%