Johnny Depp
Implied probability 72%−2
24-hour volume$35
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves1 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 12 Nov, 14:38 UTC | 72% |
| 12 Nov, 01:19 UTC | 75% |
| 11 Nov, 09:02 UTC | 74% |
| 11 Nov, 05:56 UTC | 69% |
| 10 Nov, 16:32 UTC | 74% |
| 10 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 74% |
| 9 Nov, 22:50 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Nov, 04:50 UTC | 75% |
| 8 Nov, 02:35 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 68% |
| 7 Nov, 08:15 UTC | 72% |
| 7 Nov, 07:34 UTC | 75% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 74% |
| 7 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 72% |
| 6 Nov, 18:05 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Johnny Depp is cast in a new Pirates of the Caribbean movie before January 1, 2035. It resolves to No if he is not cast by that date. Readers often mistake the release of any other film, such as 'Day Drinker,' for a resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 72%
- No 28%