OpenAI
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$921
Total volume$424k
Liquidity$424k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 4% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if OpenAI publicly confirms an initial public offering before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if that confirmation does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake news about other companies like GlobalFoundries or TSMC as relevant to this specific market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%