Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +4 points at 20:29 UTC, after Roll Call: White House warns Democrats against aggressive oversight — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 14:38 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 12:41 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 07:43 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 04:21 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 40% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Nov, 05:38 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 39% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any cabinet member is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as applying to the impeachment vote rather than the date the process must be initiated.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%