Keith Self
Implied probability 95%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 21 Oct, 07:40 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the person elected to represent Texas's 3rd congressional district for the term starting in 2027 belongs to the Republican Party. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the relevant election or swearing-in date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%