Maria Elvira Salazar
Implied probability 64%+2
24-hour volume$75
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome "Yes" occurs if Maria Elvira Salazar remains a Republican when she takes office for the 2027 term in Florida's 27th district. The outcome "No" occurs if she is not a Republican at that time. Readers often mistake the timing, thinking the resolution depends on her party affiliation during the current election cycle rather than when she is sworn in for the 2027 term.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%