Above $65 billion
Why it moved: −3 points at 12:16 UTC, after decrypt.co: Morning Minute: Robinhood Adds Perps, Weekend Stocks, and AI Traders — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robinhood Markets Inc. reports that its total event contract trading volume exceeds $65 billion during fiscal 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year instead of the end of Robinhood's fiscal 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%