Before 2029
Implied probability 66%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 14 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit fully upholds the district court's October 20, 2025 judgment in favor of Harvard before January 1, 2029. It resolves to No if that specific affirmation does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any lower court ruling or unrelated financial news counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%