Blinding Lights
Why it moved: +4 points at 15:21 UTC, after The Verge: GTA VI will have in-game podcasts and at least six radio stations — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 8 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the song "Blinding Lights" is available on any in-game radio station when Grand Theft Auto VI launches. It resolves to No if the song is absent from all stations at that time. Readers often mistake the release date of the song itself for the relevant deadline, but only its presence in the final game matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 28%
- No 72%