Before March, 2027
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI releases GPT-7 before March 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about GPT-6 for the resolution condition, but only a GPT-7 launch counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%