Steve Hilton
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$214k
Total volume$9.6M
Liquidity$9.6M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 16:14 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his campaign's success or viability, but it only depends on the final election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%