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The Pitt

Implied probability 11%+3
24-hour volume$9
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +3 points at 16:02 UTC, after Deadline: Casting Society Reveals Artios Awards Non-Film Nominees List: ‘The Pitt’, ‘Heated Rivalry,’ ‘Pluribus’ & More — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · The Pitt
0%50%100%11%6 Oct, 15:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now11%
7 Oct, 16:02 UTC11%
6 Oct, 15:09 UTC8%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if The Pitt is the top search result on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Tv Shows list for the year 2026. It resolves to No if it does not hold that position. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ranking must be confirmed before the end of 2026, but the resolution depends solely on the final annual list published by Google.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 11%
  • No 89%

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