Josh Turek, 0-2%
Implied probability 20%
24-hour volume$941
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Josh Turek’s margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa falls between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if his margin of victory is outside that range. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the final certification of results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%