Jon Ossoff, ≥20%
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the 2026 Georgia Senate election by a margin of at least 20%. The outcome is No if his winning margin is less than 20% or if he loses. Readers often mistake the linked story about Democrats winning key races for the resolution, but only the specific vote margin in the 2026 Senate race determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%