Kent
Implied probability 88%−1
24-hour volume$77
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Kent County. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific race in that county. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any statewide victory counts instead of only the result in Kent County.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%