Nassau
Why it moved: +7 points at 02:33 UTC, after Politico Congress: Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 39% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Nassau County; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for Election Day rather than the date of official certification. The source of truth is the final certified election results for Nassau County.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%