Orange
Implied probability 29%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 18:53 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election specifically in Orange County. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific race or location. Readers often mistake the scope of the victory, thinking it applies to the entire state rather than just Orange County.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%