Gears of War: E-Day
Implied probability 6%+4
24-hour volume$29
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Gears of War: E-Day wins the Best Multiplayer award at the 2026 Game Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the release date or critical reviews for the resolution criteria, but only the official award result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%