Andy Burnham
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2045
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the current UK Prime Minister leaves office before any other G7 leader. It resolves to No if another G7 leader departs first or if the UK Prime Minister remains in power longer than all of them. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about Andy Burnham’s career rather than the timing of the Prime Minister's departure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%