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Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua

Implied probability 76%−5
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves8 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 12:49 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Tyson Fury to face British rival Anthony Joshua in Cardiff on December 11 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua
0%50%100%76%23 Sept, 11:13 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now76%
24 Sept, 13:03 UTC90%
24 Sept, 12:49 UTC89%
24 Sept, 12:23 UTC84%
23 Sept, 11:13 UTC81%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua fight each other in a sanctioned boxing match during 2026. It resolves to No if they do not compete against one another within that year. Readers often mistake the announcement date of the fight for the actual resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 76%
  • No 24%

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