Yes
Implied probability 50%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves1 Jul 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 6 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if President Lee Jae-myung completes his full term ending on June 3, 2030. It resolves to No if he leaves office before that date for any reason. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI hacks as the resolution criteria instead of the president's actual tenure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%