Marine Le Pen
Implied probability 11%−1
24-hour volume$355
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves18 Apr 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marine Le Pen places second in the first round of the next French presidential election based on certified results. It resolves to No if she does not finish second. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming early polls or exit votes count instead of only the official certified results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%