Yes
Why it moved: +31 points at 19:24 UTC, after The Hill: Bipartisan lawmakers announce 20-30 percent US film incentive package — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 19:31 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a federal film or TV production tax credit becomes law between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such law passes by that date. Readers often mistake the introduction of a bill for its enactment into law.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%