Reserve President Rejected
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 17:03 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the Board of Governors rejects the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president between May 5, 2023, at 10:00 AM ET and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the linked news story about criminal violations as relevant; only the Board's approval or rejection of reappointment matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%