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George Russell

Implied probability 13%+2
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves18 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +16 points at 10:08 UTC, after SkySports: Russell tops sole Singapore practice ahead of Sprint Qualifying — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · George Russell
0%50%100%13%7 Oct, 19:49 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
9 Oct, 11:15 UTC15%
9 Oct, 10:08 UTC28%
7 Oct, 19:49 UTC12%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if George Russell finishes on the podium in the main race of the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix. It resolves to No if he does not finish in the top three positions. Readers often mistake the practice session results for the final race outcome.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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