Yes
Why it moved: −16 points at 16:49 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Lewis Hamilton hopes F1 will press ahead with plans to end season in Middle East — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Sept, 22:20 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 36% |
| 22 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix main race takes place in Abu Dhabi after this question posts and before December 7, 2026 at 12:00am EST. The outcome is No if that specific race does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for a local time zone or assume any event in Abu Dhabi counts instead of only the main race.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%