Red Bull Racing
Implied probability 99%+3
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves12 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +3 points at 08:24 UTC, after BBC Sport: Hadjar to stay as Verstappen's Red Bull team-mate for 2027 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 07:54 UTC | 96% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Max Verstappen joins the Red Bull Racing F1 Team before March 12, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join that specific team by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Hadjar for the resolution condition, but only Verstappen's team matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%