Mercedes
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves12 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Max Verstappen joins the Mercedes F1 Team before March 12, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Wolff for the resolution criteria, but only Verstappen's actual team assignment matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%