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George Russell

Implied probability 6%+1
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolves22 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · George Russell
0%50%100%6%24 Sept, 12:44 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
27 Sept, 04:52 UTC6%
27 Sept, 04:25 UTC5%
27 Sept, 01:24 UTC6%
27 Sept, 00:50 UTC6%
26 Sept, 23:25 UTC6%
26 Sept, 20:20 UTC7%
26 Sept, 19:56 UTC6%
26 Sept, 19:16 UTC6%
26 Sept, 18:51 UTC7%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC6%
26 Sept, 15:15 UTC7%
26 Sept, 13:50 UTC6%
26 Sept, 09:24 UTC4%
26 Sept, 08:02 UTC5%
26 Sept, 06:00 UTC4%
26 Sept, 00:08 UTC5%
25 Sept, 13:46 UTC4%
24 Sept, 12:44 UTC2%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if George Russell wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship. It resolves to No if he does not win the championship. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his performance in a single race, such as the Azerbaijan Grand Prix mentioned in the linked story.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 6%
  • No 94%

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