George Russell
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$1.3M
Resolves22 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if George Russell wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship. It resolves to No if he does not win the championship. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his performance in a single race, such as the Azerbaijan Grand Prix mentioned in the linked story.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%