Prince Andrew
Why it moved: +6 points at 01:48 UTC, after The Hill News: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor sues police over Epstein-related arrest — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is named in any context within documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein that are released before January 1, 2027. The market resolves to "No" otherwise. Readers often mistakenly believe that only explicit mentions of crimes or legal charges count, but the rule includes any mention in any context.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%