Aston Villa
Implied probability 1%−8
24-hour volume$209
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves21 Jun 2027
Why it moved: −8 points at 09:30 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Aston Villa sack manager Natalia Arroyo with club second-bottom of WSL — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 09:11 UTC | 9% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa is relegated from the English Premier League during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they remain in the league at the end of that specific campaign. Readers often mistake the linked news about the women's team manager for the relevant event, but only the men's team's final league standing matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%