Arsenal
Why it moved: −3 points at 21:41 UTC, after SkySports: Arsenal fight back to draw against Bayern Munich — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 21:28 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the Liverpool vs Arsenal EPL game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome is No if Arsenal does not win within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked Bayern Munich match as relevant, but only the result of the Liverpool game counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%