Above 0
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 99% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 98% |
| 17 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 82% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the President signs more than zero executive orders between October 18 and October 24, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story for the sole trigger, but any executive order signed within that specific week counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%