Above 1
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the President signs more than one executive order between October 11 and October 17, 2026. It resolves to "No" if he signs one or zero executive orders during that period. Readers often mistake the linked story as proof of resolution, but only official presidential actions within the specified dates count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%