West Ham
Why it moved: −72 points at 22:17 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: West Ham’s penalty pain costs them top spot in Championship after QPR draw — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 77% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if West Ham earns promotion from the EFL Championship in the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they do not achieve this result within that specific campaign. Readers often mistake a draw or a loss for a failure to promote, but only final league standing determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%