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Manchester City

Implied probability 17%−4
24-hour volume$220
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves4 Apr 2027

Why it moved: −4 points at 15:24 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Tony Pulis says he and Stoke were ‘cheated’ in 2011 FA Cup final after Manchester City verdict — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Manchester City
0%50%100%17%26 Sept, 14:48 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
27 Sept, 15:24 UTC17%
26 Sept, 14:48 UTC21%

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What counts

Manchester City must win the 2026-27 EFL Carabao Cup for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on the official champion of that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this question for a general prediction about Manchester City's overall success or other competitions.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 17%
  • No 83%

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