Tariff
Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 17 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any United Airlines representative mentions a tariff during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. It resolves to No if no one says the word in that specific context. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about actual policy changes rather than whether the term is spoken.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%