Tariff
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 96% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any Levi Strauss representative mentions tariffs during the company's next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. The market resolves to No if tariffs are not mentioned in that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year instead of the date of the next earnings call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%