Oil / Gas / Gasoline
The market favoured No at 65% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +26 points at 19:58 UTC, after Fortune: ‘I drive a Tesla’: After Elon Musk said he’d lose his job, Delta CEO Ed Bastian says there’s ‘no tit for tat’ as airline unveils earnings miss — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 66% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 39% |
| 8 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 36% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Delta Air Lines representative mentions oil, gas, or gasoline during their next live earnings call or official broadcast. The outcome is No if they do not mention these terms in that specific setting. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the trigger, but only the words spoken on the upcoming call count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%