Digital Asset
Implied probability 99%+7
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −26 points at 11:24 UTC, after MarketWatch: BlackRock’s assets equal half the size of the U.S. economy after 15% growth — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 66% |
| 14 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 92% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a BlackRock representative mentions Digital Asset during the company's next earnings call or Q&A session. The outcome is No if the term is not mentioned in that specific event. Readers often mistake any general news report for the official source of truth instead of waiting for the actual earnings call transcript.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%