Siri
Implied probability 84%−4
24-hour volume$109
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves12 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 84% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an Apple representative mentions Siri during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if Siri is not mentioned in that specific context. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any mention of Siri at any time counts, but only references during this particular earnings event matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%