Matt Fitzpatrick
Implied probability 99%+1
24-hour volume$513
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +5 points at 17:13 UTC, after BBC Sport: Fitzpatrick wins in France for fourth title of season — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 16:06 UTC | 94% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top five players at the 2026 FedEx Open de France. It resolves to No if he does not finish in that range. Readers often mistake this rule for requiring a win, but ties count toward the top five.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%