Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
The market favoured Yes at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +28 points at 16:10 UTC, after BBC Sport: Chacarra wins in India to take Race to Dubai lead — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 18 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 71% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%